Published April 21, 2026

Is the Real Estate Market Finally Getting Back to Normal?

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Written by John Hurlbut

A bar chart showing the percentage of homes sold over asking price from 2019 to 2025, peaking at 45% in 2021 and dropping to 23% in 2025.

For the past few years, the real estate market has felt like a relentless race. It seemed as though every single house on the block was subject to a bidding war, frequently selling for significantly more than the original asking price. For many buyers, this "over-asking" environment was a major barrier to entry, creating a high-stress atmosphere and making it difficult to plan for a move.

However, recent data reveals a significant shift in market dynamics. According to the latest reports from Redfin and ResiClub, only about 1 in 4 homes (roughly 23%) are selling for over their asking price today. This is a dramatic cooling from 2021, when nearly half of all homes (45%) were going for above list price. This trend is a clear signal that the market is stabilizing and returning to a more "normal" rhythm.

While these statistics can vary depending on your specific neighborhood and price point, the overall takeaway is positive for those looking to move. Fewer bidding wars mean that the extreme urgency of the last few years has calmed down. In many local markets, the power is shifting slightly back toward a more balanced state, where buyers have more time to breathe and make informed decisions.

Perhaps the most important takeaway is that negotiation is officially back on the table. In many cases, you may find sellers who are willing to have a conversation about price, repairs, or closing costs—terms that were almost impossible to discuss just two years ago. If you have been waiting for the "frenzy" to fade before jumping back into the market, now is the time to look at what’s available.

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